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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Chiefs safeties grade out as the 29th-worst unit in football this year in regard to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup QB Jake Browning in this week's game, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Bengals are a big 7-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 35.6% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 3rd-most sluggish paced team in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.35 seconds per snap.

While Joe Mixon has accounted for 72.7% of his offense's run game usage in games he has played this year, the predictive model expects him to be a less important option in Cincinnati's running game in this week's contest at 58.3%.

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