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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Carries
Player Prop Week 15

Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings

 
 
 
Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 3-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this game, indicating more of a focus on rushing than their normal approach.
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are forecasted by the predictive model to call 67.2 plays on offense in this game: the 3rd-highest number on the slate this week.
  • The leading projections forecast Joe Mixon to garner 15.6 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, placing him in the 87th percentile when it comes to RBs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 9th-least run-focused offense on the slate this week with a 39.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The 7th-smallest volume of plays in the NFL have been called by the Bengals this year (a measly 55.9 per game on average).
  • Our trusted projections expect Joe Mixon to be a less important option in his team's rushing attack in this week's contest (59.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (75.2% in games he has played).
  • The Bengals offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the league last year in run support.
  • The Vikings defensive tackles project as the 4th-best unit in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

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