Joe Mixon Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Carries

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 12, 2023

Updated Nov 26, 2023 4:56 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects Joe Mixon to earn 19.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.
After comprising 68.6% of his team's run game usage last year, Joe Mixon has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, currently making up 79.7%.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive ends grade out as the 9th-worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to start backup quarterback Jake Browning in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
At the present time, the 3rd-least run-focused team in football (32.9% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cincinnati Bengals.
At the moment, the 3rd-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals.
In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the effect it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Bengals profiles as the 9th-worst in football last year.

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