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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Carries
Player Prop Week 12

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects Joe Mixon to earn 19.3 rush attempts in this week's contest, on balance, putting him in the 96th percentile when it comes to RBs.

After comprising 68.6% of his team's run game usage last year, Joe Mixon has been called on more in the rushing attack this year, currently making up 79.7%.

The Pittsburgh Steelers defensive ends grade out as the 9th-worst DE corps in the league this year when it comes to stopping the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to start backup quarterback Jake Browning in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.

At the present time, the 3rd-least run-focused team in football (32.9% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Cincinnati Bengals.

At the moment, the 3rd-most sluggish paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals.

In regards to blocking for ball-carriers (and the effect it has on all ground game metrics), the O-line of the Bengals profiles as the 9th-worst in football last year.

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