Joe Mixon Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Carries

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 2:16 AM EST

Analysis

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 13.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The predictive model expects Joe Mixon to accrue 15.5 rush attempts in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 85th percentile when it comes to running backs.
Joe Mixon has been much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this season (79.8% Carry Share in games he has been on the field) than he was last season (68.6%).
The Baltimore Ravens safeties profile as the 32nd-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals as the least run-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 31.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cincinnati Bengals.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 10th-worst in football last year in run-blocking.

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