Joe Mixon Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Carries

Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Bengals are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The projections expect Joe Mixon to accrue 16.9 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance, ranking him in the 89th percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon has been a more important option in his team's run game this year (80.4% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (68.6%).
When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Houston's unit has been very bad this year, ranking as the worst in football. in football.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Bengals to be the 2nd-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 35.7% run rate, based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may slide.
The Bengals O-line profiles as the 10th-worst in football last year at run-game blocking.

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