Joe Mixon Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 1

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Joe Mixon

NFL · Player Props

Joe Mixon

RB · Cincinnati Bengals

Carries

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 1, 2023

Updated Sep 11, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-137/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -103 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to accrue 14.9 rush attempts in this game, on average, placing him in the 92nd percentile among RBs.
Joe Mixon has garnered 68.6% of his offense's rush attempts since the start of last season, putting him in the 97th percentile among running backs.
The Cleveland Browns linebackers grade out as the 3rd-worst unit in football since the start of last season in regard to run defense.

Favors Under

The Cincinnati Bengals will be forced to use backup quarterback Joe Burrow in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 7th-least run-centric offense among all teams this week with a 38.8% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-smallest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season at opening holes for rushers.

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