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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Cincinnati Bengals vs Miami Dolphins

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 4-point favorite this week, indicating a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to earn 18.6 carries this week, on average, ranking in the 94th percentile among running backs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 8th-least run-oriented team in football (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 36.2% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 120.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to be a much smaller piece of his team's running game this week (73.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (87.9% in games he has played).

The Miami Dolphins defensive ends rank as the 4th-best group of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

The Miami Dolphins have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 5th-most in football. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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