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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Carries
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+102/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +102.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to accumulate 19.5 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 98th percentile among RBs.

Joe Mixon has received 80.8% of his team's rush attempts since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

The Dallas Cowboys linebackers profile as the 5th-worst group of LBs in the NFL since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 10th-least run-heavy team in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 36.8% run rate.

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in football). This slows the pace, leading to less volume and stat-padding.

The Cincinnati Bengals have gone for it on 4th down just 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in the league), which typically means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.

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