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Joe Mixon

Joe Mixon Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

Joe Mixon Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 13.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.9 plays per game.

The Buffalo Bills safeties profile as the 31st-worst group of safeties in the league this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 33.0% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Mixon to be a much smaller part of his team's running game this week (59.7% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (74.4% in games he has played).

The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box versus opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in football. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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