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Joe Flacco

Joe Flacco TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Indianapolis Colts

Joe Flacco TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Colts to be the least pass-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 51.8% pass rate.

The model projects the Colts to run the 6th-most plays on offense among all teams this week with 67.4 plays, given their underlying traits and game dynamics.

In this week's contest, Joe Flacco is forecasted by our trusted projection set to have the 10th-most pass attempts among all QBs with 36.4.

As it relates to pocket protection (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense metrics), the offensive line of the Indianapolis Colts ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-highest clip in the league against the Giants defense this year (74.8% Adjusted Completion%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts are a massive 7.5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme rushing game script.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Colts this year (a mere 54.6 per game on average).

Opposing offenses teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the New York Giants, averaging the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 29.1 per game) this year.

The New York Giants defense has surrendered the 8th-fewest passing TDs in the league: 1.27 per game this year.

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