Joe Flacco Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Joe Flacco

NFL · Player Props

Joe Flacco

QB · Cleveland Browns

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2023

Updated Dec 7, 2023 8:46 PM EST

Analysis

Joe Flacco Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-106/-129).

Key Factors

Favors Over

A rushing game script is implied by the Browns being a 3-point favorite this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cleveland Browns to run on 47.2% of their opportunities: the 6th-highest rate among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect the Browns to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.6 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, totaling a whopping 66.3 plays per game.
The leading projections forecast Joe Flacco to be a much bigger part of his team's rushing attack in this week's game (7.3% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (1.7% in games he has played).

Favors Under

The Browns may take to the air less in this game (and hand the ball off more) given that they be forced to start backup QB Joe Flacco.
Our trusted projections expect Joe Flacco to accrue 2.3 rush attempts in this week's game, on balance: the 6th-fewest among all QBs.
The opposing side have run for the 7th-fewest adjusted yards in football (just 97.0 per game) versus the Jaguars defense this year.

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