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Joe Flacco

Joe Flacco Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

Joe Flacco Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 225.5 (-135/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 231.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 225.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 6th-most pass-centric offense in the NFL (64.1% in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Browns.

The leading projections forecast this game to have the highest number of plays run on the slate this week at 136.1 plays, accounting for the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The Browns have run the most plays in the NFL this year, averaging a colossal 65.9 plays per game.

The predictive model expects Joe Flacco to throw 38.1 passes in this game, on balance: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.

With a fantastic rate of 302.0 adjusted passing yards per game (100th percentile), Joe Flacco stands among the top quarterbacks in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 7-point advantage, the Browns are a massive favorite this week, indicating much more of a reliance on rushing than their usual approach.

Opposing teams have averaged 32.7 pass attempts per game versus the Jets defense this year: 6th-fewest in the NFL.

Joe Flacco checks in as one of the least accurate passers in the NFL this year with a 60.3% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 22nd percentile.

This year, the tough Jets defense has conceded a measly 179.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the fewest in the league.

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending receivers, New York's unit has been great this year, profiling as the best in the NFL.

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