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Joe Flacco

Joe Flacco Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Houston Texans vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Joe Flacco Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 250.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 240.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 250.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Browns to be the 9th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are anticipated by the predictive model to call 68.2 total plays in this contest: the 4th-most among all teams this week.
  • The highest number of plays in football have been called by the Cleveland Browns this year (a massive 65.8 per game on average).
  • The air attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
  • This week, Joe Flacco is anticipated by the model to have the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 38.7.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A rushing game script is implied by the Browns being a 3-point favorite in this game.
  • Joe Flacco grades out as one of the least on-target QBs in the NFL this year with a 59.2% Adjusted Completion%, grading out in the 19th percentile.
  • The Houston Texans cornerbacks project as the 5th-best collection of CBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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