Joe Flacco Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Joe Flacco

NFL · Player Props

Joe Flacco

QB · New York Jets

Passing Yards

New York Jets vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Flacco Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 235.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets will be starting backup QB Joe Flacco in this week's contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 5th-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.9 pass attempts per game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season: 2nd-most in football.
Opposing teams have passed for the 7th-most yards in the NFL (250.0 per game) versus the Cincinnati Bengals defense since the start of last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 10th-least pass-centric team in football (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.5% pass rate.
The New York Jets offensive line ranks as the 10th-worst in the league since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
Joe Flacco's passing accuracy has diminished this season, with his Completion% shrinking from 67.5% to 62.5%.
Joe Flacco's throwing efficiency has tailed off this year, totaling a measly 6.31 yards-per-target vs a 8.20 mark last year.
The Cincinnati Bengals defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, giving up an average of 4.99 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 6th-least in the NFL.

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