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Joe Flacco

Joe Flacco Completions
Player Prop Week 5

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Indianapolis Colts

Joe Flacco Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+108/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The leading projections forecast the Colts to call the 2nd-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

In this week's game, Joe Flacco is anticipated by the projection model to total the 4th-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 36.7.

Opposing QBs have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Jacksonville Jaguars defense this year: 6th-most in the NFL.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive effect it has on all passing offense statistics), the offensive line of the Colts ranks as the 2nd-best in the league this year.

The Jacksonville Jaguars safeties rank as the worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Colts have been the 8th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (adjusted for context) this year with a 54.2% pass rate.

The fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Colts this year (a measly 48.0 per game on average).

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