Joe Flacco Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Joe Flacco

NFL · Player Props

Joe Flacco

QB · Cleveland Browns

Completions

Cleveland Browns vs Chicago Bears · Week 15, 2023

Updated Dec 17, 2023 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Joe Flacco Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-148/+108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -148.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Cleveland Browns are predicted by our trusted projection set to call 66.2 offensive plays in this contest: the 6th-highest number among all teams this week.
The highest number of plays in the NFL have been called by the Browns this year (a colossal 66.2 per game on average).
Joe Flacco has attempted 43.0 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 99th percentile among QBs.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 39.5 pass attempts per game against the Bears defense this year: 3rd-most in the league.
As it relates to pass-blocking (and the positive impact it has on all pass attack stats), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns grades out as the 8th-best in football this year.

Favors Under

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Browns to pass on 55.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
The forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and increased run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
Joe Flacco comes in as one of the least accurate quarterbacks in the league this year with a 55.1% Adjusted Completion%, checking in at the 16th percentile.

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