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Joe Flacco

Joe Flacco Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns

 
 
 
Joe Flacco Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -106.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 66.5 plays per game.
  • The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
  • The Rams linebackers rank as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 56.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-lowest level in the league against the Rams defense this year (64.5% Adjusted Completion%).

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