Joe Flacco Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Joe Flacco

NFL · Player Props

Joe Flacco

QB · Cleveland Browns

Completions

Los Angeles Rams vs Cleveland Browns · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 3, 2023 8:26 PM EST

Analysis

Joe Flacco Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 18.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Browns, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to call the 4th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Cleveland Browns have called the most plays in football this year, averaging a monstrous 66.5 plays per game.
The Cleveland Browns offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Rams linebackers rank as the 4th-worst collection of LBs in the NFL this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Browns to pass on 56.5% of their chances: the 9th-lowest rate among all teams this week.
Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 4th-lowest level in the league against the Rams defense this year (64.5% Adjusted Completion%).

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