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Joe Flacco

Joe Flacco Carries
Player Prop Week 9

Minnesota Vikings vs Indianapolis Colts

 
 
 
Joe Flacco Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 6th-quickest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Colts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Colts are a 5.5-point underdog in this game, indicating a passing game script.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Indianapolis Colts to run on 36.7% of their opportunities: the 2nd-lowest rate on the slate this week.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • This week, Joe Flacco is expected by the model to accumulate the 2nd-fewest carries out of all QBs with 1.5.
  • Comprising just 3.9% of his offense's run game usage this year (19th percentile when it comes to QBs), Joe Flacco's lack of speed makes him no threat in the run game.

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