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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders

Joe Burrow TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 61.6% of their plays: the 5th-greatest frequency among all teams this week.

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-heavy offense in football near the goal line (62.3% context-neutralized) according to the model is the Bengals.

In this contest, Joe Burrow is predicted by the predictive model to average the 8th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 36.9.

Joe Burrow's passing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 67.2% to 71.3%.

With an outstanding ratio of 1.88 per game (90th percentile), Joe Burrow rates as one of the leading touchdown passers in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This week's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are heavily favored by 8 points.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.1 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (just 53.0 per game on average).

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Las Vegas Raiders defense this year: 6th-fewest in football.

In regards to pass-blocking (and the influence it has on all air attack statistics), the offensive line of the Cincinnati Bengals grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year.

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