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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow TD Passes
Player Prop Week 6

New York Giants vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-227/+170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -152 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -227.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects the Bengals as the most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 4th-most pass-heavy team in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 61.0% red zone pass rate.

The projections expect Joe Burrow to throw 37.2 passes in this game, on average: the 4th-most out of all quarterbacks.

Joe Burrow's passing precision has gotten a boost this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 67.2% to 73.2%.

With a stellar ratio of 2.40 per game (94th percentile), Joe Burrow stands among the leading TD passers in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Bengals being a 4.5-point favorite in this game.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by our trusted projection set to see just 124.3 total plays run: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, New York's LB corps has been terrific this year, projecting as the 5th-best in football.

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