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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow TD Passes
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Carolina Panthers

Joe Burrow TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-220/+171).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 8th-most pass-centric offense among all teams this week with a 61.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 5th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 62.2% red zone pass rate.

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 6th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a colossal 62.2 plays per game.

Joe Burrow has attempted 39.0 throws per game this year, grading out in the 78th percentile among QBs.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the Carolina Panthers defense this year: 10th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, which points towards a rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-least plays run out of all the games this week at 125.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has allowed their QB a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season), which has a negative effect on all pass attack statistics across the board.

The Carolina Panthers pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing QBs a measly 2.31 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the best in the league since the start of last season.

The Cincinnati Bengals have used play action on a mere 18.9% of their passing plays since the start of last season (4th-least in the NFL), making the offense more predictable and lowering passing effectiveness.

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