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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow TD Passes
Player Prop Week 5

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-192/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -192.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 6th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 6th-most pass-heavy team in football near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 60.3% red zone pass rate.

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a monstrous 71.8 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to call the least total plays among all teams this week with 60.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line grades out as the 6th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Joe Burrow's throwing precision has diminished this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 69.6% to 66.1%.

The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 8th-best safety corps in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has afforded their QB just 2.49 seconds before the pass (4th-worst in the league since the start of last season), which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.

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