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Joe Burrow
NFL · Player Props
Joe Burrow
QB · Cincinnati Bengals
TD Passes
Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 2, 2022 Updated Sep 18, 2022 8:20 PM UTC
NFL Props Joe Burrow TD Passes

Joe Burrow TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-235/+155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -235.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 60.6% red zone pass rate.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.
Favors Under
  • The Bengals are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 33.9 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 10th-least of all quarterbacks.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.
  • Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest rate in the league vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season (63.7%).
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