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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow TD Passes
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-235/+155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -200 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -235.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 4th-most pass-centric team in the NFL near the goal line (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 60.6% red zone pass rate.

This game will be played in a dome—which means zero wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.

Opposing teams have averaged 36.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a huge 7.5-point favorite in this game, indicating an extreme rushing game script.

THE BLITZ projects this game to play at the 11th-slowest pace on the slate this week, averaging 27.26 seconds per play given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 33.9 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 10th-least of all quarterbacks.

The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line profiles as the 10th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all passing game statistics across the board.

Opposing QBs have completed passes at the lowest rate in the league vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense since the start of last season (63.7%).

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