My Account Log Out

reorder

Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills

Joe Burrow TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-200/+160).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the most pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 67.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense in football near the end zone (adjusted for context) right now with a 61.6% red zone pass rate.

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 9th-most plays in football this year, averaging a whopping 59.9 plays per game.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Joe Burrow has attempted 38.6 throws per game this year, checking in at the 85th percentile among QBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 129.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Buffalo Bills defense has given up the 6th-least passing TDs in the NFL: 1.13 per game this year.

The Buffalo Bills linebackers profile as the 2nd-best group of LBs in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

The Cincinnati Bengals O-line has afforded their QB a mere 2.49 seconds before the pass (worst in football since the start of last season), which has a negative impact on all passing game metrics across the board.

The Cincinnati Bengals have incorporated play action on a lowly 18.9% of their dropbacks since the start of last season (least in the NFL), creating a more one-dimensional offense that hurts passing production.

More Joe Burrow Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™