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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are heavily favored by 8 points.

Joe Burrow's running efficiency has gotten better this year, totaling 6.00 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 5.11 rate last year.

The Raiders defense has had the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 5.02 adjusted yards-per-carry.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The model projects the Bengals as the 5th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 38.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.1 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (just 53.0 per game on average).

With a terrible rate of 0.75 yards-after-contact (14th percentile), Joe Burrow ranks among the bottom running QBs in the NFL this year.

As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's DE corps has been very good this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

More Joe Burrow Player Props

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