Joe Burrow Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

My Account Log Out

reorder

Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2024

Updated Nov 4, 2024 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This week's spread implies an extreme rushing game script for the Bengals, who are heavily favored by 8 points.
Joe Burrow's running efficiency has gotten better this year, totaling 6.00 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 5.11 rate last year.
The Raiders defense has had the 8th-worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering 5.02 adjusted yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The model projects the Bengals as the 5th-least run-centric team on the slate this week with a 38.4% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Based on the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this contest is predicted by the predictive model to see only 126.1 total plays called: the 4th-fewest on the slate this week.
The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (just 53.0 per game on average).
With a terrible rate of 0.75 yards-after-contact (14th percentile), Joe Burrow ranks among the bottom running QBs in the NFL this year.
As it relates to the defensive ends' role in stopping the run, Las Vegas's DE corps has been very good this year, grading out as the best in the NFL.

More Joe Burrow Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow