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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cincinnati Bengals vs Philadelphia Eagles

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 12.5 @ -113 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A passing game script is implied by the Bengals being a -5.5-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Cincinnati Bengals are predicted by the model to run only 63.1 plays on offense in this contest: the 7th-fewest among all teams this week.

Joe Burrow's ground efficiency has gotten better this season, notching 5.93 adjusted yards-per-carry vs just 5.11 rate last season.

The Philadelphia Eagles defense has produced the 9th-worst efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, surrendering 4.88 adjusted yards-per-carry.

The Philadelphia Eagles safeties project as the 32nd-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in regard to defending the run.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Bengals to be the 2nd-least run-focused offense among all teams this week with a 36.4% run rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been called by the Cincinnati Bengals this year (a mere 53.0 per game on average).

The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, and lower run volume, increased TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

With a lousy rate of 0.77 yards-after-contact (16th percentile), Joe Burrow places among the worst rushing quarterbacks in football this year.

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