Joe Burrow Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 7

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Rushing Yards

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 7, 2024

Updated Oct 21, 2024 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.
Joe Burrow has run for substantially more yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (10.0).
Joe Burrow's running effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, totaling 5.90 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 5.11 figure last year.
This year, the tough Cleveland Browns run defense has allowed a puny 5.10 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 27th-best rate in football.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Bengals as the 5th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 37.8% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
Joe Burrow checks in as one of the weakest QBs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a mere 0.86 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 25th percentile.
The Browns linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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