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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • With a 5.5-point advantage, the Bengals are favored in this week's game, implying more of an emphasis on rushing than their typical game plan.
  • Joe Burrow has run for substantially more yards per game (16.0) this season than he did last season (10.0).
  • Joe Burrow's running effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, totaling 5.90 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a measly 5.11 figure last year.
  • This year, the tough Cleveland Browns run defense has allowed a puny 5.10 adjusted yards-per-carry to the opposing ground game: the 27th-best rate in football.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Bengals as the 5th-least run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 37.8% run rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect the Cincinnati Bengals offense to be the 8th-slowest paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.04 seconds per snap.
  • Joe Burrow checks in as one of the weakest QBs in the NFL at picking up extra running yardage, averaging a mere 0.86 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 25th percentile.
  • The Browns linebackers profile as the best LB corps in football this year when it comes to defending the run.

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