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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+140/-185).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -145 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ -185.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to be much more involved in his offense's run game this week (16.8% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (10.6% in games he has played).

Since the start of last season, the imposing Chiefs run defense has allowed a puny 4.64 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing rushing attacks: the 24th-best rate in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to run on 33.8% of their chances: the lowest clip on the slate this week.

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Bengals have called the 6th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.

The Kansas City defensive tackles project as the 4th-best DT corps in football since the start of last season when it comes to defending the run.

More Joe Burrow Player Props

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