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Joe Burrow
NFL · Player Props
Joe Burrow
QB · Cincinnati Bengals
Rushing Yards
Cincinnati Bengals vs Cleveland Browns · Week 16, 2024 Updated Dec 22, 2024 8:36 PM UTC
NFL Props Joe Burrow Rushing Yards

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Favors Over
  • This week's spread suggests an extreme running game script for the Bengals, who are a huge favorite by 10 points.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this game is forecasted by the predictive model to see 138.5 plays on offense called: the highest number on the slate this week.
  • Joe Burrow's running efficiency has improved this year, accumulating 6.10 adjusted yards-per-carry compared to just 5.11 rate last year.
  • The Cleveland Browns defense has had the 7th-worst efficiency against opposing ground games this year, allowing 4.79 adjusted yards-per-carry.
Favors Under
  • The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-least run-oriented team on the slate this week with a 37.2% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (3-mph wind) being predicted in this game, while rush volume may drop.
  • The projections expect Joe Burrow to accrue 2.7 rush attempts this week, on balance: the 7th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • The Cleveland Browns linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the NFL this year in regard to run defense.
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