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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3 points.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays run: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.

Joe Burrow's running efficiency has been refined this year, notching 6.28 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a mere 5.11 rate last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to run on 35.6% of their plays: the lowest rate on the slate this week.

In this contest, Joe Burrow is projected by the projection model to accrue the 11th-fewest rush attempts out of all quarterbacks with 2.8.

This year, the imposing Pittsburgh Steelers run defense has conceded a mere 91.0 adjusted rushing yards per game to the opposing side: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.

When it comes to the safeties' role in run defense, Pittsburgh's collection of safeties has been fantastic this year, profiling as the 3rd-best in the NFL.

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