My Account Log Out

reorder

Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Cleveland Browns vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-106/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.

The Cincinnati Bengals have called the 4th-most plays in the NFL this year, totaling a whopping 64.6 plays per game.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to be a much bigger part of his team's running game this week (13.4% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (5.1% in games he has played).

Joe Burrow has rushed for quite a few more yards per game (18.0) this season than he did last season (6.0).

Joe Burrow's running efficiency has gotten better this season, totaling 5.66 yards-per-carry vs a measly 3.53 figure last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the least run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 37.1% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.8 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to total 3.2 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.

The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (least in the NFL). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.

More Joe Burrow Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™