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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to be much more involved in his offense's rushing attack this week (16.1% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (6.8% in games he has played).
  • Joe Burrow has run for substantially more yards per game (17.0) this season than he did last season (6.0).
  • Joe Burrow's running efficiency has been refined this year, notching 5.14 yards-per-carry compared to just 3.53 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 38.4% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Opposing squads have run for the 3rd-least yards in the league (just 95 per game) against the Baltimore Ravens defense this year.
  • The Baltimore Ravens defensive tackles grade out as the 10th-best DT corps in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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