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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Cincinnati Bengals vs Denver Broncos

Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 287.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 278.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 287.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 65.7% of their opportunities: the greatest rate on the slate this week.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (3-mph wind) being called for in this game, while rush volume may go down.

In this week's game, Joe Burrow is projected by the projection model to average the most pass attempts out of all QBs with 40.9.

Opposing offenses have averaged 38.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

Joe Burrow's 287.0 adjusted passing yards per game this season illustrates a noteable improvement in his passing prowess over last season's 241.0 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a running game script.

At the moment, the 7th-slowest paced offense in football (adjusted for context) according to the projections is the Bengals.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the significance it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Bengals grades out as the 3rd-worst in football this year.

This year, the daunting Broncos defense has yielded the 10th-least yards-after-the-catch in the NFL to the opposing side: a puny 4.8 YAC.

The Denver Broncos cornerbacks rank as the 2nd-best unit in football this year in defending pass-catchers.

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