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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Tennessee Titans vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 276.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 268.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 276.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Bengals to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 3rd-greatest rate on the slate this week.
  • In this week's game, Joe Burrow is anticipated by the projection model to average the 4th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 38.1.
  • Joe Burrow has passed for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (285.0) this year than he did last year (241.0).
  • With a stellar 69.2% Adjusted Completion% (88th percentile) this year, Joe Burrow ranks as one of the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 6-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a running game script.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 128.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather forecast calls for 12-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 29.6 pass attempts per game against the Titans defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.
  • When talking about pass protection (and the importance it has on all pass game metrics), the O-line of the Cincinnati Bengals profiles as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

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