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Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 274.5 (+115/-145).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 274.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 274.5 @ -145.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.2% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may fall-off.The leading projections forecast Joe Burrow to attempt 38.7 passes in this week's game, on balance: the most out of all QBs.Joe Burrow rates as one of the top QBs in the league this year, averaging a remarkable 264.0 adjusted yards per game while grading out in the 90th percentile.With a fantastic 69.7% Adjusted Completion% (91st percentile) this year, Joe Burrow places among the most accurate quarterbacks in the league.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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The projections expect the Bengals to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals this year (just 55.6 per game on average).The Chargers pass defense has shown good efficiency this year, yielding 7.23 adjusted yards-per-target: the 6th-fewest in football.The Chargers defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, yielding an average of 4.25 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 4th-fewest in the NFL.When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.
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