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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 280.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 272.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 280.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.8 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
  • The model projects Joe Burrow to throw 38.3 passes in this game, on average: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 42.2 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
  • This year, the anemic Seattle Seahawks defense has been gouged for a massive 315.0 adjusted yards per game through the air to opposing offenses: the 2nd-worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
  • Joe Burrow's 214.0 adjusted passing yards per game this year signifies a a material drop-off in his passing prowess over last year's 289.0 rate.
  • Joe Burrow's 60.6% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a a material decline in his passing precision over last year's 69.4% figure.
  • Joe Burrow's passing efficiency has tailed off this year, averaging just 5.42 adjusted yards-per-target compared to a 7.63 rate last year.

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