Joe Burrow Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Passing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 17, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 260.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 266.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 260.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 65.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 40.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most of all quarterbacks.
Joe Burrow has been among the top QBs in football since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 278.0 yards per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Baltimore Ravens defense has been quite strong when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.47 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 7th-least in the NFL.

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