Joe Burrow Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 11

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Passing Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 11, 2023

Updated Nov 17, 2023 2:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 256.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 254.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 256.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Bengals, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Bengals to pass on 68.6% of their plays: the highest clip among all teams this week.
Our trusted projections expect Joe Burrow to attempt 40.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the most out of all QBs.
Opposing teams have averaged 39.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Baltimore Ravens defense this year: 7th-most in football.

Favors Under

At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced offense in football (context-neutralized) according to our trusted projection set is the Cincinnati Bengals.
As it relates to pocket protection (and the significance it has on all pass game metrics), the offensive line of the Bengals ranks as the 9th-worst in the NFL this year.
Joe Burrow has thrown for a lot fewer adjusted yards per game (251.0) this year than he did last year (289.0).
Joe Burrow's 66.2% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates a noteworthy regression in his passing precision over last season's 69.4% rate.
Joe Burrow's 6.50 adjusted yards-per-target this year illustrates an impressive drop-off in his passing efficiency over last year's 7.6% figure.

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