Joe Burrow Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

My Account Log Out

reorder

Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Passing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Houston Texans · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 12, 2023 5:06 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 274.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Based on their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 64.3% of their chances: the 2nd-highest frequency on the slate this week.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still weather conditions (4-mph wind) being called for in this game, while ground volume may slide.
In this week's game, Joe Burrow is expected by our trusted projection set to total the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.7.
This year, the porous Texans defense has surrendered a monstrous 258.0 adjusted passing yards per game to opposing quarterbacks: the 9th-worst in football.
Opposing QBs have completed passes at the 5th-highest clip in the league against the Houston Texans defense this year (75.1% Adjusted Completion%).

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 5.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
At the present time, the 6th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the Bengals.
Joe Burrow has thrown for substantially fewer adjusted yards per game (248.0) this season than he did last season (289.0).
Joe Burrow's passing precision has tailed off this year, with his Adjusted Completion% falling off from 69.4% to 66.1%.
Joe Burrow's 6.43 adjusted yards-per-target this season signifies a significant regression in his passing efficiency over last season's 7.6% mark.

More Joe Burrow Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow