Joe Burrow Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 3

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Passing Yards

New York Jets vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 3, 2022

Updated Sep 25, 2022 7:30 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 264.5 (-140/+110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 124.5 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing offenses have thrown for the 6th-most yards in football (253.0 per game) against the New York Jets defense since the start of last season.
Opposing offenses have completed passes at the highest rate in the league against the New York Jets defense since the start of last season (74.5%).
The New York Jets pass defense has displayed bad efficiency since the start of last season, surrendering 8.81 yards-per-target: the most in the league.
The New York Jets linebackers profile as the worst group of LBs in football since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 6.5-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 7th-least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Joe Burrow has attempted a mere 28.6 throws per game since the start of last season, checking in at the 24th percentile among quarterbacks.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 9th-worst in football since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful effect on all air attack stats across the board.
Joe Burrow's throwing effectiveness has declined this season, compiling a measly 6.91 yards-per-target vs a 8.12 figure last season.

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