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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Passing Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 277.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 272.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 277.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 39.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the 6th-most of all QBs.
  • Joe Burrow has been among the top passers in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 284.0 yards per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.
  • Joe Burrow has been among the most accurate QBs in the league this year with a stellar 68.8% Completion%, ranking in the 97th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
  • Opposing QBs have thrown for the 4th-least yards in the league (just 211.0 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, giving up 7.06 yards-per-target: the 6th-least in the NFL.
  • The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.81 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the NFL.

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