Joe Burrow Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Passing Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 277.5 (-115/-113).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 272.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 277.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 10th-most pass-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 62.0% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 3rd-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 68.2 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 39.0 passes in this week's game, on average: the 6th-most of all QBs.
Joe Burrow has been among the top passers in the NFL this year, averaging an impressive 284.0 yards per game while grading out in the 94th percentile.
Joe Burrow has been among the most accurate QBs in the league this year with a stellar 68.8% Completion%, ranking in the 97th percentile.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Opposing offenses have averaged 34.4 pass attempts per game vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.
Opposing QBs have thrown for the 4th-least yards in the league (just 211.0 per game) vs. the Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense this year.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has displayed strong efficiency this year, giving up 7.06 yards-per-target: the 6th-least in the NFL.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has excelled when opposing pass-catchers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 4.81 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 9th-least in the NFL.

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