Joe Burrow Passing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 1

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Passing Yards

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers · Week 1, 2022

Updated Sep 11, 2022 11:34 PM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Passing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 259.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 260.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 259.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Joe Burrow has been among the leading passers in football since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 266.0 yards per game while checking in at the 76th percentile.
Joe Burrow has been among the most accurate quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season with an impressive 69.2% Completion%, grading out in the 97th percentile.
Joe Burrow has been among the most efficient quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging an impressive 8.05 yards-per-target while checking in at the 94th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties rank as the 3rd-worst group of safeties in football since the start of last season in pass coverage.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box against opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the least pass-oriented team on the slate this week with a 55.5% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals offense as the 7th-most sluggish paced team in football (adjusted for context) right now, averaging 27.80 seconds per play.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 32.8 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 8th-least of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 31.7 pass attempts per game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.