Joe Burrow Pass Attempts - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Pass Attempts

Cincinnati Bengals vs Kansas City Chiefs · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Pass Attempts Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-110/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 39.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 4th-most pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 65.8% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-most plays run on the slate this week at 133.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 40.9 passes this week, on average: the 5th-most of all quarterbacks.
Opposing offenses have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 6th-most in football.

Favors Under

The Kansas City Chiefs have stacked the box against opponents on just 11.8% of their plays since the start of last season, 7th-least in the league. Choosing not to position an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves pass defense at the expense of run-stopping.
The Cincinnati Bengals have gone no-huddle on a mere 2.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (2nd-least in the league). This deadens the pace, leading to less volume and stat accumulation.
The Cincinnati Bengals have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 15.7% of the time since the start of last season (7th-least in football), which usually means less offensive volume, less TD potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

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