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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Interceptions
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Washington Commanders

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.4% pass rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) generally cause better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher pass volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • In this week's game, Joe Burrow is predicted by our trusted projection set to total the 5th-most pass attempts among all quarterbacks with 37.0.
  • The Commanders defense has been a notorious pass funnel since the start of last season, inciting opposing QBs to attempt the 8th-most passes in the NFL (35.1 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Commanders have intercepted 0.45 passes per game since the start of last season, ranking as the worst defense in the NFL by this stat

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • With a 7-point advantage, the Bengals are heavily favored in this week's contest, implying much more of an emphasis on rushing than their normal approach.
  • At the moment, the 3rd-slowest paced offense in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Bengals.
  • In racking up only 0.51 interceptions per game since the start of last season, Joe Burrow stands among the top QBs in football (76th percentile).

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