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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Interceptions
Player Prop Week 14

Dallas Cowboys vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Interceptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Cincinnati Bengals to be the 2nd-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 65.4% pass rate, given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 135.1 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • In averaging a colossal 38.6 pass attempts per game this year, Joe Burrow rates among the top quarterbacks in football (100th percentile) in this respect.
  • As it relates to linebackers in pass coverage, Dallas's LB corps has been lousy this year, projecting as the worst in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This game's line suggests a running game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 4.5 points.
  • Opposing offenses teams have been hesitant to lean on the pass against the Cowboys, totaling the fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 30.0 per game) this year.
  • The Bengals offensive line profiles as the 2nd-worst in the league this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative effect on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • In logging just 0.39 interceptions per game this year, Joe Burrow stands among the leading quarterbacks in the league (78th percentile).

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