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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Completions
Player Prop Week 2

Kansas City Chiefs vs Cincinnati Bengals

Joe Burrow Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -138 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Bengals are a 4-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.2% of their downs: the highest frequency on the slate this week.

This week, Joe Burrow is anticipated by the projection model to average the most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.5.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Bengals have called the 6th-fewest plays in football since the start of last season, totaling a mere 56.4 plays per game.

Opposing offenses teams have been reluctant to pass too much against the Kansas City Chiefs, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 31.0 per game) since the start of last season.

Opposing offenses have completed passes at the 9th-lowest clip in football vs. the Chiefs defense since the start of last season (68.0% Adjusted Completion%).

When it comes to cornerbacks in defending pass-catchers, Kansas City's group of CBs has been phenomenal since the start of last season, grading out as the 6th-best in the league.

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