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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Completions
Player Prop Week 13

Cincinnati Bengals vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-132/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Bengals to pass on 64.4% of their plays: the 2nd-highest clip on the slate this week.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is projected by the predictive model to see 131.4 total plays run: the 4th-highest number among all games this week.
  • This week, Joe Burrow is expected by the model to average the 2nd-most pass attempts out of all quarterbacks with 39.0.
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers cornerbacks grade out as the worst collection of CBs in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • This week's spread suggests a rushing game script for the Bengals, who are favored by 3 points.
  • The Cincinnati Bengals offensive line grades out as the 10th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all pass attack metrics across the board.
  • Opposing teams have completed passes at the 9th-lowest level in the NFL vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers defense this year (68.9% Adjusted Completion%).

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