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Joe Burrow

Joe Burrow Completions
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Chargers vs Cincinnati Bengals

 
 
 
Joe Burrow Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Cincinnati Bengals to pass on 66.2% of their plays: the highest rate among all teams this week.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may fall-off.
  • The leading projections forecast Joe Burrow to attempt 38.7 passes in this week's game, on balance: the most out of all QBs.
  • With a fantastic 69.7% Adjusted Completion% (91st percentile) this year, Joe Burrow places among the most accurate quarterbacks in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The projections expect the Bengals to run the 5th-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 62.7 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The 9th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Bengals this year (just 55.6 per game on average).
  • When it comes to linebackers in defending receivers, Los Angeles's LB corps has been exceptional this year, grading out as the 4th-best in football.

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