Joe Burrow Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 6

My Account Log Out

reorder

Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Completions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 15, 2023 4:01 PM EST

Analysis

Joe Burrow Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-770/+430).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +430.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Bengals to pass on 62.8% of their plays: the 3rd-highest rate among all teams this week.
The predictive model expects this game to have the 4th-highest number of plays run among all games this week at 128.8 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.
The model projects Joe Burrow to throw 38.3 passes in this game, on average: the 2nd-most among all quarterbacks.
Opposing teams have averaged 42.2 pass attempts per game against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 2nd-most in the league.
The Seahawks safeties grade out as the 2nd-worst group of safeties in the league this year in covering pass-catchers.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3-point favorite this week, which points towards a rushing game script.
Joe Burrow's 60.6% Adjusted Completion% this year represents a a material decline in his passing precision over last year's 69.4% figure.

More Joe Burrow Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow