Joe Burrow Completions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Joe Burrow

NFL · Player Props

Joe Burrow

QB · Cincinnati Bengals

Completions

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Joe Burrow Completions Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 24.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 23.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Cincinnati Bengals as the 2nd-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 65.1% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Bengals to run the 9th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.5 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Joe Burrow to attempt 40.2 passes in this week's contest, on average: the 3rd-most of all quarterbacks.
Joe Burrow has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season with a stellar 68.5% Completion%, grading out in the 97th percentile.

Favors Under

The Bengals are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Cincinnati Bengals O-line profiles as the 5th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the quarterback, which has a negative impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

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